Archaeology of Artificial Intelligence: how the signals of 2024 and 2025 project the trends for 2026

trends for 2026

Medium emerges as a powerful signal detector for AI trends for 2026 that are likely to shape the technical ecosystem and the market ahead.

Tracking the evolution of Artificial Intelligence requires more than following hype, model releases, or announcements from major companies. To understand where AI is truly heading, it is necessary to look at where developers, researchers, and professionals are investing their time to learn, experiment and teach. In this sense, Medium functions as a true seismograph of the technical ecosystem, that is, an exceptionally rich source for detecting signals and patterns that tend to gain significant amplification in both the technical landscape and the market.

Why is Medium such a compelling thermometer? Because it operates as an instrument that allows us to measure two things: (1) what the technical community is actively trying to build at the moment (tutorials, guides); and (2) what is being adopted and standardized (frameworks, protocols, and “stacks” that reach consensus). By analyzing article titles, for example, it becomes possible to capture signals of intente, what people are investing time in learning, teaching and replicating. This is extremely useful for identifying trends, especially in software engineering and AI. That is exactly what was done. By analyzing 1,734 article titles published between 2024 and 2025, previously categorized and processed using topic modeling, it was possible to conduct a particularly insightful archaeology of how the discourse around AI has matured and, from that, to project trends for 2026.

The methodology used in this study followed a hybrid approach, combining semantic curation and topic modeling. Initially, Medium articles filtered by technical themes, such as AI, machine learning, neural networks, deep learning, generative AI, and software engineering, among others, were manually cataloged into thematic categories. This enabled a structured reading of the frequency and hierarchy of the most recurrent topics in each year. Next, topic modeling was applied, a technique that combines semantic embeddings with clustering to identify latent patterns in article titles. From these topics, average similarity metrics were calculated and used as a proxy for cohesion and convergence in the technical discourse. These inputs made it possible to go beyond simple theme counting, enabling a qualitative analysis of maturity, architectural convergence, and shifts in focus over time, and serving as the empirical foundation for the interpretation of the trends and projections presented.


2024 – The year of answering: how to turn LLMs into useful, reliable, and production-ready systems

In 2024, what emerges is an ecosystem in transition. The initial phase of fascination with generative AI has passed, and the focus has shifted rapidly toward a very concrete problem: how to turn LLMs into useful, reliable, and production-ready systems? This shift appears clearly in the distribution of categories. “RAG” emerges as the most frequent theme of the year, surpassing by a wide margin terms such as “LLM” or “Generative AI” (Figure 1). This data point alone is revealing. it indicates that the debate was no longer centered on the ability to generate text, but rather on how to connect models to verifiable knowledge, reduce hallucinations, and incorporate real-world context into responses.

Figure 1 shows a bar chart with the Top 10 most frequent article categories on Medium in 2024.

image

Figure 1 – Top 10 most frequent categories in 2024

The fact that RAG surpasses “Generative AI” by nearly 10× indicates that the debate is no longer about text generation, but about how to make LLMs reliable, data-connected and usable in production.

The 2024 word cloud reinforces this interpretation. The most recurrent terms clearly belong to the vocabulary of practical engineering and techniques for applying RAG: “build,” “building,” “retrieval,” “chunking,” “python,” “streamlit,” and “dashboards.” Tools such as “LangChain” and “LlamaIndex” appear prominently, not as objects of theoretical comparison, but as instruments to enable real applications. Even the topic of “agents,” which emerged with some relevance, appeared more as a promise or an emerging pattern than as a central axis of the debate. Medium in 2024 closely resembles a large collective workshop, in which the dominant question was: how do I build something useful with LLMs right now? Another interesting point is that the dominant lexicon is unmistakably engineering-oriented, with action verbs (build, create, using), tools (LangChain, LlamaIndex, Streamlit), and structures (graph, retrieval, pipeline).

Figure 2 shows the word cloud extracted from the titles of Medium articles published in 2024.

image 6

Figure 2 – 2024 word cloud

Topic modeling for 2024 confirms this impression. In a general analysis, the main clusters orbit around “RAG,” “AI agents,” “local LLMs,” “topic modeling,” “data visualization,” and “application pipelines” (Figure 3). There is thematic diversity and some degree of fragmentation, which is typical of an ecosystem in an exploratory phase.

Now, looking more closely, the bubble chart (Figure 3) shows three clearly dominant clusters: Cluster 0 – Agents / AI Agents; Cluster 1 – Chatbots, LangChain, Gemini and Cluster 2 – Advanced RAG / Chunking, Where:

  • Cluster 0 – Agents / AI agents: indicating that “agentic AI” is not yet an emerging trend in that year, but the topic of “AI agents” is steadily gaining importance.
  • Cluster 1 – chatbots, langChain, gemini: shows that the debate has shifted from “which is the best model?” to “how do we orchestrate models in real-world applications?”.
  • Cluster 2 – advanced RAG / chunking: characterizes a more mature audience, discussing optimization, limitations, model hallucinations, and the shortcomings of traditional RAG.

Figure 3 shows the bubble chart of the 2024 topic modeling results.

image 2

Figure 3 – Bubble chart of the 2024 data

In general terms, the average similarity chart (Figure 4) shows that, although there are strong themes, there is still no full architectural consensus. In other words, 2024 was the year in which generative AI consolidated as product engineering, but without a single, universally dominant architecture.

Taking a more detailed look, the topics with the highest average similarity are: (1) chatbots + LangChain + Gemini; (2) language, topic, LLM; (3) projects, scripts; (4) PDF, documents, LlamaIndex; (5) knowledge graphs; (6) AI agents; (7) data visualization; (8) local LLMs, RAG; (9) GraphRAG; and (10) Streamlit, FastAPI, and apps. This shows that, despite some fragmentation, the articles exhibit an implicit consensus around a common “stack,” which can be interpreted as a signal of technological consolidation.

Figure 4 shows the average similarity chart from the topic modeling of the 2024 data

image 5

Figure 4 – Average similarity chart of the 2024 data

Based on the data, 2024 can be summarized into four major axes:

  1. RAG as a standard infrastructure: no longer experimental and no longer optional, RAG consolidates itself as an architectural baseline.
  2. Agents as a software unit: the central “object” shifts from the model to the agent.
  3. Frameworks outperform models: LangChain, LlamaIndex, and GraphRAG appear more frequently than the names of individual models.
  4. Graphs return as a semantic layer: knowledge graphs are no longer legacy systems and become a natural complement to LLMs.

In summary, 2024 was dominated by practical, architectural, and applied content, with a strong focus on how to build generative AI systems rather than merely discussing models or theory. This marks a clear inflection point compared to 2022/2023, when the focus was on “what LLMs can do.”


2025 – The year of answering: how to coordinate autonomous AI ecosystems at scale

The landscape changes quite clearly in 2025. The volume of articles increases, but what truly stands out is the reorganization of the discourse. “AI Agents” jumps decisively to first place, becoming the most frequent theme of the year by a wide margin. “RAG” remains relevant, but it no longer occupies center stage. In its place, categories such as “AI Tools,” “MCP,” and “Knowledge Graphs” emerge strongly. The very expression “Generative AI,” which still appeared in the top 10 in 2024, disappears from the ranking. This does not mean that Generative AI has lost importance; rather, it has ceased to be the organizing concept of the debate. It has become the background. In short, in 2025, the conversation is no longer about “Generative AI,” but about agents, tools, protocols, and graphs. 

If 2024 can be defined as the year of built AI (build, RAG, pipelines, apps), 2025 is the year of orchestrated, connected, and protocolized AI. In 2025, Medium shifts away from discussing “how to create something with LLMs” and focuses instead on “how to coordinate systems of agents, tools, protocols, and context in production.”

Figure 5 shows the bar chart with the Top 10 most frequent article categories on Medium in 2025.

image 1

Figure 5 – Top 10 most frequent categories in 2025

The 2025 word cloud makes this transition even more evident. The dominant vocabulary now includes “AI agents,” “MCP,” “RAG,” “tools,” “agentic,” “Google,” “graph,” “knowledge,” “data,” “LLM,” “protocol,” “context,” “servers,” “workflow,” “ChatGPT,” “GPT,” “Gemini,” “LangChain,” and “LangGraph.” The language shifts from being construction-centered to coordination-centered. Instead of “how to build an app,” the conversation becomes “how to orchestrate autonomous systems that use tools, access shared context, and execute chained tasks.” This is a lexicon typical of systems architecture rather than experimentation. In 2025, the dominant vocabulary is more systemic and infrastructural, less tutorial-oriented and more architectural, hallmarks of technological maturity.

Figure 6 shows the word cloud extracted from the titles of Medium articles published in 2025.

image 7

Figure 6 – 2025 word cloud

The results of topic modeling in 2025 reinforce this interpretation. In a general analysis, the largest topic by a wide margin is “AI agents and agentic systems.” This is followed by “MCP and servers,” “AI tools,” “knowledge graphs,” and “agent-oriented RAG.” These themes do not appear in isolation; on the contrary, they form a cohesive, semantically proximate block.

Now, looking more closely, the bubble chart (Figure 7) reveals something new compared to 2024. “Topic 0 – agents / agentic AI” shows absolute dominance, the largest bubble, the highest frequency, and no close competitors. This indicates that agentic AI ceases to be a trend and becomes the organizing axis of the discourse. Meanwhile, “Topics 1 to 4 – MCP, Tools, Knowledge Graphs, Agentic RAG” form a cohesive, interconnected cluster rather than isolated themes. Unlike 2024, the topics now reinforce one another. This signals architectural convergence, not dispersed experimentation.

Figure 7 shows the bubble chart of the topic modeling for the 2025 data.

image 3

Figure 7 – Bubble chart of the 2025 data

In general terms, the average similarity chart (Figure 8) shows a significant increase in the average similarity among the dominant topics, indicating convergence. Unlike 2024, when multiple paths were being explored in parallel, 2025 reveals an ecosystem that is beginning to share a common “mental stack.”

Figure 8 shows the average similarity chart from the topic modeling of the 2024 data

image 4

Figure 8 – Average similarity chart of the 2025 data

This difference is fundamental to understanding the phase shift. In 2024, the question was how to make LLMs reliable and usable. In 2025, the focus shifts to how to consistently coordinate ecosystems of agents, tools, and knowledge sources. AI is no longer treated as a feature within applications; it is increasingly understood as a work system, capable of executing complete and complex workflows.


Comparison of the 2024 and 2025 data

Table 1 compares the frequency of article title categories on Medium in 2024 and 2025.

Categoria20242025Leitura
RAG#1#2RAG ceases to be a “novelty” and becomes necessary infrastructure
AI Agents#2#1Full consolidation of the agentic AI paradigm
LLM#3#7Models lose prominence
Knowledge Graph#8#5Shows a strong structural rise
Generative AI#10Outside the Top 10. The term loses explanatory value
MCP#4A new dominant architectural layer

Table 1 – Comparison of the 2024 and 2025 data

What do 2024 and 2025 teach us about 2026? A grand narrative composed of three consecutive waves:

  1. 2024: reliability and context (RAG-first);
  2. 2025: execution and orchestration (agents + tools + protocols);
  3. 2026: operational governance and systemic efficiency (control + cost + compliance + quality).

10 trends for 2026 derived from the signals of 2024–2025

This archaeology of the two years points quite clearly to where 2026 is likely heading. When a technology reaches this level of convergence, the focus naturally shifts to second-order problems. If agents become commonplace, the differentiator is no longer building an agent, but governing networks of agents. If protocols such as MCP gain adoption, the discussion evolves toward permission control, access policies, auditing, and standardization. If tools are automatically triggered by autonomous systems, issues of security, observability, and accountability inevitably arise.

All signs suggest that 2026 will be the year in which autonomy ceases to be a novelty and becomes a baseline assumption. The debate is likely to shift toward topics such as operational governance of agents, continuous observability, security tailored to agentic systems, and economic efficiency. Infrastructure also gains prominence. As agents execute actions at scale, inference costs, latency, and data sovereignty become central concerns. Smaller models, hybrid execution across cloud and edge computing, and workload optimization are likely to take center stage.

Another movement that is clearly taking shape is the maturation of knowledge graphs. If in 2024 they still appeared as an advanced technique, and in 2025 they consolidated as semantic infrastructure, in 2026 the trend is for them to become the backbone of organizational context for AI. Graphs increasingly function as official maps of entities, relationships, rules, and constraints, providing agents with a deeper understanding of the business.

Multimodality is also likely to cease being a differentiator and become a standard. Voice, image, text, and action converge in agents capable of perceiving the environment and acting upon it. This opens space for new interfaces, especially in customer service, operations, and analytics, where interaction is no longer limited to a textual chat.

What this analysis makes clear is that 2026 is unlikely to be remembered as the year of a new revolutionary model. Just as “Generative AI” lost explanatory power in 2025, the name of the next model will likely matter less than the system into which it is embedded. The real competition shifts to who can build AI ecosystems that are safer, more efficient, more governable, and better aligned with business objectives.

Table 2 presents a summary of the trends for 2026 derived from the analysis of Medium articles from 2024 and 2025.

#Trend for 2026What Changes in PracticeSignal Observed in 2024/2025
01Agent governance as a priorityThe differentiator is no longer creating agents, but orchestrating, supervising, and auditing networks of agentsExplosion of AI agents in 2025 and increased semantic convergence
02Autonomy as a baseline assumption, not a differentiatorAutonomous systems cease to be experimental and become a baseline.Agents dominate the discourse in 2025, while “Generative AI” disappears
03Protocols as a critical layer (MCP, ACP, A2A, and similar).Focus on permission control, standardization, and access to contextStrong emergence of MCP in 2025 as a dominant category and topic
04Policy-governed toolsTool use ceases to be ad hoc and begins to require catalogs, rules, and auditingGrowth of AI tools and the emergence of “servers” and “workflow” language
05Continuous observability of agentic systemsMonitoring decisions, actions, and impacts in production becomes a requirementGreater thematic cohesion and architectural maturity in 2025
06Security tailored to autonomous AI systemsThe focus shifts from prompt injection to tool injection and improper actionsIncrease in agents with real execution power
07Economic efficiency as a strategic axisInference costs, latency, and data sovereignty move to center stageModels lose prominence relative to orchestration
08Smaller models and hybrid executionCombined use of cloud, on-premises, and edge environments for specific workloadsRelative decline of LLMs as a dominant category
09Knowledge graphs as the semantic backboneKnowledge graphs begin to structure context, rules, and entitiesContinuous growth of Knowledge Graphs in 2024 and 2025
10Multimodality as a standard interfaceVoice, image, text, and action integrated into contextual agentsEmergence of multimodality and Gemini in 2025

Table 2 – Trends for 2026 based on the analysis of Medium articles

With the objective of outlining a trend landscape as close to reality as possible, in addition to the analysis of article titles from 2024 and 2025 conducted in this study, three articles by different authors on AI trends for 2026, listed below, were also analyzed. The purpose of this data triangulation was to extract trends that are common to both the study and the three articles, as well as to identify trends that were not captured by the study.

  • The author Modern Data 101 wrote about Top Data and AI Trends to Watch Out For in 2026;
  • The author Aruna Pattam wrote about What Will Define AI in 2026? These 10 Trends;
  • The author Saurav Singh wrote about 10 Data & AI Trends That Will Redefine 2026 (Most People Aren’t Ready).

Table 3 presents the 15 final trends for 2026 derived from the analysis of article titles from 2024 and 2025, combined with the review of the three articles cited in the previous paragraph

#Trend for 2026
01AI governance, AI agents, and data as a top priority
02Autonomy through agentic AI as a baseline assumption, not a differentiator
03Smaller, specialized models running in hybrid environments (cloud, on-premises, and edge computing)
04Economic efficiency as a strategic axis for cost reduction
05Security tailored to autonomous AI becomes a critical priority
06Protocols as a critical layer (MCP, ACP, A2A, and related), open-source AI, and model ecosystems
07Policy-governed AI tools, with AI regulation and global standards beginning to converge
08Continuous observability for managing agentic systems
09Knowledge graphs as the semantic backbone and structural foundation of AI
10Multimodality as a standard interface and a new productivity layer in human–AI interaction
11RAG 2.0 to address the trust problem in AI
12Intelligence engineering (context, vector data, semantics, and autonomous workflows)
13AI-native applications replace traditional software experiences
14AI talent will be better equipped to deploy solutions and innovate more consistently
15Personalization becomes the customer expectation

Table 3 – AI Trends for 2026

Finally, it is worth emphasizing that the analysis of article titles from 2024 and 2025 reveals a technical community that has matured rapidly. It moved beyond experimentation, progressed through applied engineering, and arrived at the orchestration of autonomous systems. From this point onward, the next step is inevitable, turning autonomy into reliable infrastructure. It is on this less visible, less glamorous, but far more decisive ground that 2026 is likely to be shaped.

In addition, it is important not to overlook traditional machine learning and deep learning algorithms and techniques, since not all problems can be solved solely with generative AI, LLMs, RAG, and AI agents.


References

Modern Data 101. Top Data and AI Trends to Watch Out For in 2026. Medium. 2025. Available at: <https://medium.com/@community_md101/top-data-and-ai-trends-to-watch-out-for-in-2026-a24f4a8a7cf1>. Access: 03 jan 2026.

PATTAM, Aruna. What Will Define AI in 2026? These 10 Trends. Medium. 2025. Available at: <https://arunapattam.medium.com/what-will-define-ai-in-2026-these-10-trends-ee5c05a817d0>. Access: 03 jan

2026.SINGH, Saurav. 10 Data & AI Trends That Will Redefine 2026 (Most People Aren’t Ready). Medium. 2025. Available at: <https://medium.com/predict/10-data-ai-trends-that-will-redefine-2026-8ddeed2a3663>. Access: 03 jan 2026.

Written by:

Join our newsletter

Get marketing tips & news directly to your inbox.

Trends