Christmas shopping in the United States: Trends, consumer behavior, and market insights for 2024

Jan 9, 2025

The holiday season had come to an end, and Christmas shopping once again took center stage in the United States. In 2024, consumers navigated shifting priorities, a growing emphasis on tech-forward gifts, and rising financial awareness. We dived into the key trends, popular products, market expectations, and a comparison with the previous year to better understand how Christmas shopping shaped up that year.

Trending products and conversations for 2024

Technology continues to dominate Christmas wishlists in 2024, although consumer preferences are evolving. Gaming consoles remain a top contender, reflecting steady demand among tech enthusiasts. However, their overall online mentions have decreased significantly compared to 2023, possibly indicating a broader slowdown in holiday chatter.

Other highlights include:

  • Smart Home Devices: This category experienced a surge in mentions, signaling growing consumer interest in connected and automated living.
  • Tablets and Earbuds: Affordable tech gifts gained traction, suggesting a shift towards budget-friendly purchases.
  • Fitness Trackers: Interest plummeted, likely due to increased competition from other health-related devices.
  • Robot Vacuums: Despite fewer mentions, their ranking improved slightly, highlighting a niche but stable demand.

Beyond product-specific mentions, online conversations about Christmas shopping reveal a blend of emotional and practical themes. Keywords like “family,” “home,” and “love” underscore the sentimental aspects of the holiday, while terms such as “deals,” “cash,” and “PayPal” highlight consumers’ focus on affordability and convenient payment methods.

Market expectations for Christmas sales

The National Retail Federation (NRF) projects holiday sales in November and December 2024 grew between 2.5% and 3.5% compared to 2023, reaching $979.5 billion to $989 billion. This moderate growth reflects increasing consumer confidence, bolstered by a stable labor market and easing inflation.

Recent data also shows a strong start to the shopping season. Retail sales in November exceeded expectations, rising by 0.7% month-over-month, fueled by purchases of big-ticket items like vehicles and home goods. Analysts are optimistic that the momentum will carry through December, particularly as brands ramp up promotional efforts closer to Christmas.

Consumer behavior and early shopping trends

A noticeable shift in shopping habits has emerged in 2024. According to recent surveys, 32% of U.S. shoppers began their holiday purchases between July and October, while 29% waited until November. This trend of early shopping aligns with efforts to spread out expenses and secure deals before the holiday rush.

Interestingly, 2024 has also seen a 27% increase in purchase intent compared to last year, suggesting renewed optimism among shoppers. Retailers have responded by launching early sales events and offering more flexible payment options to attract budget-conscious consumers.

Comparing 2024 to 2023

Comparing this year’s trends with 2023 highlights some notable changes in consumer priorities:

  • Drop in total mentions: Across most product categories, mention volumes decreased. This could indicate less chatter online or changing habits in how consumers discuss their purchases.
  • Shift toward affordable gifts: Budget-friendly tech, such as tablets and earbuds, captured a larger share of mentions in 2024, reflecting economic caution among shoppers.
  • Smart home growth: Interest in smart home devices grew, signaling a maturing market for connected technologies.

Despite these shifts, gaming consoles and laptops remain at the top of the wishlist, underscoring their continued popularity among a broad audience.

Conclusion

Christmas shopping in the United States in 2024 showcases a dynamic mix of tradition and innovation. While some classic gifts remain staples, the growing demand for smart home devices and affordable tech highlights evolving consumer needs.

Retailers and brands can seize the opportunity by tailoring their messaging to resonate with the emotional themes of family and togetherness while offering competitive pricing and flexible payment options. With holiday sales expected to near $1 trillion, staying attuned to these trends will be crucial for capturing the holiday spirit—and consumer spending.

Looking Ahead to Christmas 2025, projections indicate continued growth in the smart home device market, alongside an increasing emphasis on affordability and early shopping habits. Retailers are expected to lean further into personalized marketing and flexible payment solutions to cater to evolving consumer needs. With holiday sales poised to cross the $1 trillion mark, staying attuned to these trends will be crucial for capturing both consumer sentiment and spending power.

A happy family sitting by the Christmas tree, wearing festive pajamas and unwrapping gifts together in a warm holiday setting

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